On Aug. 19, the day before the Primary Election throughout Florida, New Tampa resident Dr. Jim Davison told me that he felt he had run his best campaign yet — and believed that he would defeat Hillsborough County Fire Rescue Battalion Chief Chris Boles in his bid for the Republican nomination for countywide District 6, where incumbent Democrat Pat Kemp was leaving her seat to challenge for the U.S. Congressional seat held by Dist. 15 incumbent Laurel Lee. (Note – Rep. Lee easily earned the Republican nomination on Aug. 20 to face Kemp on Tuesday, November 5).
“It’s in the hands of the voters,” Davison told me that day. “My fate is already sealed. But either way, I’m going to light a cigar, see what happens and be satisfied with what I’ve worked to accomplish this time around.”
Unfortunately for Davison — who previously has run for both the County Commission (against current District 2 incumbent Ken Hagan; more on him below) and Tampa City Council (losing by 65 votes in a runoff election to now-two-term incumbent Luis Viera in Dist. 7) — it again wasn’t meant to be. Davison lost 59%-41% to Boles, who will now face Democratic Primary winner and former State Rep. Sean Shaw for the Dist. 6 seat in Nov.
And, although he was a lot stronger in New Tampa’s 25 voting precincts (see chart below) — where he earned nearly 48% of the vote — than he was countywide, Davison still finished behind Boles on the local ballots, too, despite being a strong-voiced advocate for New Tampa at both City Council and County Commission meetings for more than two decades.
Meanwhile, Hagan, the former New Tampa resident, easily defeated Melissa Nordbeck 78.2%-21.8% (Hagan was even stronger in New Tampa, where he earned 82.1% of the vote), and will face Democrat Patricia Alonzo in his attempt to keep alive his 22-year streak of serving either in District 2 or a countywide Commission seat — the longest tenure of any current Hillsborough commissioner.
In one of the more contentious races last month, Tampa Palms resident and incumbent District 3 Hillsborough County School Board member Jessica Vaughn convincingly defeated Myosha Powell — 59%-41% — to retain her seat. Vaughn, who won nearly 63% of the vote in New Tampa’s 25 precincts, survived a number of nasty attack ads (including being called a Hamas terrorist) and Gov. Ron DeSantis’ endorsement of her opponent to retain her seat.
“The race was unfortunately ugly and had me more concerned about my safety and my family’s safety,” Vaughn told me a few weeks before the election. “I’ll be relieved when it’s over either way.”
In the other School Board race where New Tampa residents had a vote — District-wide Dist. 7 — incumbent and long-time former teacher Lynn Gray advanced to a November runoff against Karen Bendorf in that four-candidate race. Neither Gray (35.1%) nor Bendorf (30.3%) received close to the 50% + 1 vote needed to win the seat outright. In fact, if the rest of the county voted the same way New Tampa did, Bendorf would not have even advanced to the runoff, as third-place finisher Johnny Bush received more votes in our 25 precincts (24.1%-23.7%) than Bendorf did.
Also winning handily in Aug. was New Tampa resident and former County Commissioner, State Rep. and State Sen. Victor Crist, who defeated Melony Williams with more than 68% of the vote (nearly 71% in New Tampa), to secure the Republican nomination for Clerk of the Court & Comptroller. Crist will face incumbent Clerk (and former School Board member) Cindy Stuart. Crist, who is still recovering from a serious car accident that occurred not long before the Primary, is far behind Stuart in fund raising, but he also is a well-known local name, so that Nov. race should be interesting.
State & National Races
Republican incumbent U.S. Senator and former Gov. Rick Scott faced little resistance from his Primary Election opponents Keith Gross and John Columbus, but his campaign against Democratic primary winner Debbie Mucarsel-Powell — a former U.S. Representative from Miami-Dade County, could be an interesting one with truly national implications, with the split in the Senate currently sitting at 50 (46 Democrats and four independents who either caucused or are considered to be with the Dems for committee purposes) to 49 Republicans, and one seat open.
If Mucarsel-Powell (who easily defeated three opponents in Aug.) can flip that Senate seat in Nov. — and some recent polls do show her as being ahead by a few percentage points — the Democratic Party could retain control of the Upper House of Congress. Of course, a lot will depend upon the outcome of the Presidential election between former President Donald Trump and current Vice-President Kamala Harris and whether or not the winning candidate proves to have coattails that flip other seats in both houses.
Meanwhile, U.S. Rep. Laurel Lee, who maintains an office in Tampa Palms, grabbed 72.5% of the vote (70.6% in New Tampa) to easily outdistance opponents James Judge (18.2%) and Jennifer Barbosa (9.3%) to face off against Kemp, who had to give up (due to term limits) the countywide Dist. 6 County Commission seat she has held since first being elected in 2016. Kemp, who also was an aide to current Dist. 14 U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor (when Castor served on the County Commission) and former U.S. Rep. Sara Romeo, has been a popular Hillsborough commissioner, but will also have to be able to earn votes from Republican-leaning areas like Wesley Chapel and parts of Polk County to unseat Rep. Lee, will have her work cut out for her.
And, in the battle to face incumbent Democrat (and State House Minority Leader) Fentrice Driskell for her Dist. 67 Florida House seat in Nov., two New Tampa Republicans squared off — Dr. Lisette Bonano, who lost to Driskell in the 2022 election, and Rico Smith (who previously planned to run for the Dist. 6 Hillsborough Commission seat being given up by Kemp but who switched to vie for Driskell’s seat in January, after conferring with party leaders in Tallahassee). Smith, an engineer and a U.S. Air Force vet, defeated Bonano (a retired U.S. Army officer) 56.5%-43.5% in Aug. (57.5%-42.5% in New Tampa). But, according to TransparencyUSA.org, Smith was far behind Driskell in terms of fund-raising and will surely have his hands full trying to unseat this rising star in the Democratic party.
Judicial & Other Races
One of the most closely-watched races in November will be between former twice-elected Hillsborough State Attorney Andrew Warren, the Democrat who was suspended from his seat (for allegedly not following his duties), and the Republican Gov. DeSantis replaced him with — Suzy Lopez. Warren easily dispatched Elizabeth Martinez Strauss on Aug. 20 (70.3%- 29.7%), so it remains to be seen if Warren can keep Lopez from winning a full term in Nov.
There also were two judgeships up for election, including New Tampa resident Linette “Star” Brookins, who lost the County Court Judge Group 11 seat to Christine Edwards by 57.4%-42.6%, but who lost in New Tampa’s 25 precincts by less than 2% (50.9%-49.1%).
Voter Turnout
Whether it’s always been deserved or not, New Tampa’s voters have long been known in both the city and county for apathy and not showing up to vote — except for in Presidential Election years — but the Primary Election voter turnout countywide was 19.53% and New Tampa was barely behind that with 19.49%.
When you consider that Pasco County as a whole — and the Wesley Chapel area, as well — had only about a 16% turnout, New Tampa didn’t fare too badly this time around and, with both a contentious Presidential election and a controversial county School Tax on the ballot, it may be possible for both the county and New Tampa to surpass the 2020 turnout of 76+%.
